Research Frontier · 2026

What Don’t We Know?

A knowledge base that only presents what is proven gives an incomplete picture. Equally important is the boundary between established knowledge and open questions — questions where research provides partial answers, conflicting results, or no field data at all.

Below are ten such questions in street lighting. None of them has a settled answer in June 2026. Several are active research areas. For each question: what we know, what we don’t know, and why it matters.

Published 22 June 2026 · approx. 12 min read

Share
01

Is there an optimal colour temperature for road safety?

We know

Mesopic photometry (CIE 191:2010) shows that a higher S/P ratio — typically associated with higher CCT — improves peripheral detection at low luminance levels. Ecological research and dark-sky considerations favour lower CCT. There is therefore a genuine tension. See mesopic photometry and night vision.

We don’t know

Where the net optimum sits when road safety, ecological impact, circadian health, and energy efficiency are weighted together in real traffic conditions. No independent field study has quantified such a combined optimum — there are too many variables and too few controlled experiments.

Why it matters

It directly affects which CCT requirement municipalities should specify in procurement. Today the choice is driven mainly by energy targets and aesthetics — not by an evidence-based optimum for visual performance.

02

Is TM-30 a more useful colour rendition metric than CRI for road environments?

We know

TM-30 (IES TM-30-20) is scientifically more complete than Ra (CRI): it uses 99 colour samples instead of 8 and distinguishes fidelity (Rf) from gamut change (Rg). EN 13201 requires neither — CRI < 80 is permitted on roads.

We don’t know

Whether colour rendition is a meaningful safety or comfort parameter on roads at all, where driving speeds and illuminance levels make other factors more decisive. No robust field study has demonstrated a measurable safety or comfort benefit from TM-30 optimisation in road applications.

Why it matters

Determines whether it is justified to specify higher colour rendition requirements in procurement — or whether the premium cost of high CRI/Rf in road environments lacks a functional basis.

03

How large are the real-world gains from spectrally engineered LED profiles for road environments?

We know

Spectrally optimised profiles — with expanded gamut and tuned spectral path — show positive results in laboratory tests using standardised colour recognition tasks and higher reported colour saturation. These data originate from manufacturers, not from independent field studies.

We don’t know

How laboratory figures translate to safety, object detection, and actual energy savings in real road installations. Independent field studies with control groups are limited. Purchasing decisions based solely on manufacturer white-paper data should be made with awareness of this gap.

Why it matters

Separates a real functional benefit from a laboratory result that does not materialise in the field — and determines whether the premium for specialist spectrum is justified in road procurement.

04

How large is the actual ecological impact of short-wavelength light on insects in real installations?

We know

Laboratory experiments demonstrate clear attraction in a range of insect species to near-UV and short-wavelength blue light. Light sources with a high UV component are well-documented insect attractors. Low-CCT sources (amber, 1,900–2,200 K) reduce attraction in laboratory tests.

We don’t know

Population and ecosystem effects over time in actual environments. Laboratory attraction data is not equivalent to measurable ecological harm or benefit at population level. Long-term studies comparing LED CCT and insect populations in controlled field environments are lacking.

Why it matters

Either underpins or nuances the argument for low-CCT sources in ecologically sensitive areas. Procurers should weigh actual ecological risk against available data — not against projected laboratory results.

05

Are current corrosion tests representative of Nordic outdoor environments?

We know

NSS (neutral salt spray, ISO 9227) delivers reproducible and comparable test hours between products. That is the standard’s strength. It is also its limit: the test uses constant-humidity salt spray, not Nordic variable environmental conditions.

We don’t know

How well constant salt spray correlates with real Nordic exposure — where freeze/thaw cycles, road salt, UV variation, and wet/dry cycling act simultaneously. Cyclic corrosion tests (e.g. ISO 11997, VDA 233) may have higher field relevance but are not yet standardised in European lighting requirements.

Why it matters

Procurers specifying high NSS hours may have a false sense of security if the test’s field relevance is unknown. Supplementary cyclic tests or documented field installations are more informative for Nordic coastal environments.

06

Are high mast poles the right direction for future street lighting?

We know

High masts with few luminaires can reduce installation cost and cabling on large open areas. The photometric engineering is well understood; optic selection for specific mounting heights is a solved design problem.

We don’t know

Whether high masts are preferable when glare, skyglow (upward light ratio), peripheral detection, and maintenance cost (crane requirement, road closure) are all factored together. Life-cycle field comparisons are absent from the literature.

Why it matters

Informs the choice of entire installation concept — pole height, optics, number of luminaires, maintenance strategy — and thereby both TCO and environmental footprint.

07

What is the net effect of snow on road surface luminance and traffic safety?

We know

Fresh snow has high albedo and can substantially increase reflected luminance from the road surface. In theory, an installation may meet an M-class on a snow-covered winter road that it does not meet on bare asphalt. Snow is in practice the normal winter surface reflection condition in Nordic street lighting — but is not regulated.

We don’t know

The net balance when glare against a white background (washout), contrast loss against bright objects, and snow accumulation on optics and housings are included. Quantitative field studies of net effect are limited. R-tables in EN 13201-3 do not describe snow surface reflectance properties.

Why it matters

Nordic street lighting is dimensioned for winter conditions in practice, but EN 13201 offers no tools for this. It is a relevant gap for Swedish municipalities dimensioning for year-round visual performance.

08

How large is the practical gain from mesopic modelling in procurement?

We know

CIE 191:2010 formalises the mesopic adjustment factor M(S/P, La) and enables a more accurate description of visual performance at low luminance levels. A high S/P ratio delivers more lux-equivalent night vision per watt under mesopic conditions. See mesopic photometry and night vision.

We don’t know

How large the actual road safety benefit is when mesopic calculations replace lux-based requirements in practice, and why the method is rarely used in procurement despite the standard existing since 2010. Transition costs, software support, and awareness all limit adoption.

Why it matters

If the gain is meaningful, today’s lux/luminance-based requirements are systematically suboptimal for night-time visual performance. That is a significant driver in the long-term development of lighting standards.

09

Are we dimming too aggressively at night?

We know

Adaptive dimming and presence- or traffic-responsive controls deliver documented energy savings of 30–70% compared with fixed output. EN 13201 enables lighting-class switching and dynamic adaptation. The technology works.

We don’t know

Where the lower dimming threshold lies before detection acuity or perceived safety is negatively affected. Accident studies at deep night dimming (<50%) are limited; safety perception studies at low luminance levels show variable results.

Why it matters

Sets the lower limit for how aggressively municipalities and system integrators should recommend night dimming. An energy optimisation that compromises visual performance is not a saving.

10

How well do LM-80/TM-21 predict actual system lifespan?

We know

TM-21 extrapolates LED module lumen maintenance based on LM-80 measurements, with a 6x rule for extrapolation limit. The method measures the module, not the luminaire as a system. Drivers, gaskets, and solder joints are not part of the measurement. See MTBF is not lifespan — the bathtub curve explained.

We don’t know

How well an L70 claim correlates with actual luminaire lifespan in the field when drivers, gaskets, and solder joints are included. Systematic comparisons between stated L70 and actual field data over 15+ years are absent at scale.

Why it matters

The entire industry’s lifespan communication rests on a module metric that does not measure the system. Procurers comparing L70 figures are comparing module claims — which is an incomplete picture of what they are actually buying.

A note on this article

None of the ten questions above is used here as an argument for VALDUR. They are genuine knowledge gaps that we work with, and that should inform how procurers evaluate supplier claims. A supplier who claims to have answers to all of these questions should be met with scepticism.

Sources

  1. CIE 191:2010. Recommended System for Mesopic Photometry Based on Visual Performance. Commission Internationale de l’Éclairage. (Questions 1, 8.)
  2. IES TM-30-20. IES Method for Evaluating Light Source Color Rendition. Illuminating Engineering Society. (Question 2.)
  3. Pawson, S. M., & Bader, M. K.-F. (2014). LED lighting increases the ecological impact of light pollution irrespective of color temperature. Ecological Applications, 24(7), 1561–1568. (Question 4.)
  4. ISO 9227:2017. Corrosion tests in artificial atmospheres — Salt spray tests. (Question 5.)
  5. van Bommel, W. (2015). Road Lighting: Fundamentals, Technology and Application. Springer. (Questions 6, 9.)
  6. EN 13201-3:2015. Road Lighting — Part 3: Calculation of Performance. CEN. (Question 7.)
  7. IES. (2011). TM-21-11: Projecting Long-Term Lumen Maintenance of LED Light Sources. Illuminating Engineering Society. (Question 10.)

Technical questions without simple answers

Would you like to discuss how these questions affect your specific procurement?

We know the limits of what the literature says and can help prioritise which questions matter for your installation.